MATH 125 Unit 4 Individual ProjectAnswer Form Counting Techniques and Introduction to Probability

NAME: Mary Smith

MATH125: Unit 4 Individual Project

ANSWER FORM

  ANSWERS
Order is considered 720
Order is NOT considered 120

Show/Explain your work below

  • In how many ways can 5 states be selected from the top 10 states with the most murders if the order of the 5 statesmatters?
  • In how many ways can 5 states be selected from the top 10 states with the most murders if the order of the 5 states does not matter?

10P3=10! / (10-3)! = 10! / 7! = 10*9*8*7! / 7! = 10*9*8= 720

10C3= 10! / (10-3)! * 3! = 10! / 7! * 3! = 10*9*8*7! / 7! * 3*2*1 = 720 / 6 = 120

  ANSWER
Probability 120

Show/Explain your work below

  • What would be the probability that randomly choosing 3 states from the top 6 murder states would actually be the top 3 states for murders in the United States in exact correct decreasing order (1. CA, 2. TX, 3. NY)?

6P3= 6! / (6! – 3!) = 6! / 3! = 6*5*4*3! /3*2*1 = 6*5*4 = 120

RANK TOP 20 STATES TOTAL MURDERS
1 California 1,790
2 Texas 1,089
3 New York 774
4 Pennsylvania 636
5 Michigan 613
6 Georgia 522
7 North Carolina 489
8 Ohio 488
9 Louisiana 485
10 Illinois 452
11 Maryland 398
12 New Jersey 379
13 Tennessee 373
14 Missouri 364
15 Arizona 339
16 South Carolina 319
17 Virginia 303
18 Indiana 284
19 Oklahoma 204
20 Mississippi 187
  ANSWERS
MEAN 524.4
MEDIAN 425
MODE There is no mode

Show/Explain your work below

  • Find the top 20 states with the most number of total murders. Then, calculate the mean, median, and mode.

Mean: 1790+1089+774+636+613+522+489+488+485+452+398+379+373+364+339+319+303+284+204+187 / 20 = 10488 / 20 =524.4

Median: 452+398 / 2 = 850 / 2 = 425

Mode: For this data set, there is not any reoccurring number, therefore, there is no mode.

  ANSWERS
VARIANCE 131480.8
STANDARD DEVIATION 362.6

Show/Explain your work below

  • Calculate the variance and standard deviation for the top 20 states with the most number of total murders.
  ANSWER
Probability 0.0057

Show/Explain your work below

  • Range: 1790 – 187 = 1603
  • Variance: (1790-1603)2+(1089-1603)2+(774-1603)2+(636-1603)2+(613-1603)2+(522-1603)2+(489-1603)2+(488-1603)2+(485-1603)2+(452-1603)2+(398-1603)2+(379+1603)2+(373-1603)2+(364-1603)2+(339-1603)2+(319-1603)2+(303-1603)2+(284-1603)2+(204-1603)2+(187-1603)2 / 20-1= 34969+264196+687241+935089+980100+1168561+1240996+1243225+1249924+1324801+1452025+1498176+1512900+1535121+1597696+1648656+1690000+1739761+1957201+2005056 / 20-1 = 25765694 / 19 = 1356089.16
  • Standard Deviation: = 362.6
  • In Texas, given that a specific person was murdered by a firearm, what is the probability that the murder was committed with a rifle?
  ANSWER
Probability 0.078

Show/Explain your work below

  • 4 / 699 = 0.0057
  • In California, given that a specific person was murdered by a firearm, what is the probability that the murder was committed either with a rifle or a shotgun?
CHOSEN STATES PROBABILITY
Alaska 0.31 or 31%
Arizona 0.74 or 74%

Show/Explain your work below

  • 45 + 50 = 95 / 1220 = 0.078
  • Choose 2 states, and determine how many more times likely a person is to be murdered using a handgun in one state compared to the other state if the person is murdered.

Alaska: 5 / 16 = 0.31 = 31 / 100 = 31%

Arizona: 165 / 222 = 0.74 / 100 = 74%

Explain your answer below

  • For what reasons do you think California and Texas seemingly had a disproportionate number of murders than New York and Pennsylvania in 2011? Please do your research and include the references that support your answer.

Reference:

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