MATH 125 Unit 4 Individual ProjectAnswer Form Counting Techniques and Introduction to Probability

NAME:Mary Smith

MATH125: Unit 4 Individual Project

ANSWER FORM

 ANSWERS
Order is considered720
Order is NOT considered120

Show/Explain your work below

  • In how many ways can 5 states be selected from the top 10 states with the most murders if the order of the 5 statesmatters?
  • In how many ways can 5 states be selected from the top 10 states with the most murders if the order of the 5 states does not matter?

10P3=10! / (10-3)! = 10! / 7! = 10*9*8*7! / 7! = 10*9*8= 720

10C3= 10! / (10-3)! * 3! = 10! / 7! * 3! = 10*9*8*7! / 7! * 3*2*1 = 720 / 6 = 120

 ANSWER
Probability120

Show/Explain your work below

  • What would be the probability that randomly choosing 3 states from the top 6 murder states would actually be the top 3 states for murders in the United States in exact correct decreasing order (1. CA, 2. TX, 3. NY)?

6P3= 6! / (6! – 3!) = 6! / 3! = 6*5*4*3! /3*2*1 = 6*5*4 = 120

RANKTOP 20 STATESTOTAL MURDERS
1California1,790
2Texas1,089
3New York774
4Pennsylvania636
5Michigan613
6Georgia522
7North Carolina489
8Ohio488
9Louisiana485
10Illinois452
11Maryland398
12New Jersey379
13Tennessee373
14Missouri364
15Arizona339
16South Carolina319
17Virginia303
18Indiana284
19Oklahoma204
20Mississippi187
 ANSWERS
MEAN524.4
MEDIAN425
MODEThere is no mode

Show/Explain your work below

  • Find the top 20 states with the most number of total murders. Then, calculate the mean, median, and mode.

Mean: 1790+1089+774+636+613+522+489+488+485+452+398+379+373+364+339+319+303+284+204+187 / 20 = 10488 / 20 =524.4

Median: 452+398 / 2 = 850 / 2 = 425

Mode: For this data set, there is not any reoccurring number, therefore, there is no mode.

 ANSWERS
VARIANCE131480.8
STANDARD DEVIATION362.6

Show/Explain your work below

  • Calculate the variance and standard deviation for the top 20 states with the most number of total murders.
 ANSWER
Probability0.0057

Show/Explain your work below

  • Range: 1790 – 187 = 1603
  • Variance: (1790-1603)2+(1089-1603)2+(774-1603)2+(636-1603)2+(613-1603)2+(522-1603)2+(489-1603)2+(488-1603)2+(485-1603)2+(452-1603)2+(398-1603)2+(379+1603)2+(373-1603)2+(364-1603)2+(339-1603)2+(319-1603)2+(303-1603)2+(284-1603)2+(204-1603)2+(187-1603)2 / 20-1= 34969+264196+687241+935089+980100+1168561+1240996+1243225+1249924+1324801+1452025+1498176+1512900+1535121+1597696+1648656+1690000+1739761+1957201+2005056 / 20-1 = 25765694 / 19 = 1356089.16
  • Standard Deviation: = 362.6
  • In Texas, given that a specific person was murdered by a firearm, what is the probability that the murder was committed with a rifle?
 ANSWER
Probability0.078

Show/Explain your work below

  • 4 / 699 = 0.0057
  • In California, given that a specific person was murdered by a firearm, what is the probability that the murder was committed either with a rifle or a shotgun?
CHOSEN STATESPROBABILITY
Alaska0.31 or 31%
Arizona0.74 or 74%

Show/Explain your work below

  • 45 + 50 = 95 / 1220 = 0.078
  • Choose 2 states, and determine how many more times likely a person is to be murdered using a handgun in one state compared to the other state if the person is murdered.

Alaska: 5 / 16 = 0.31 = 31 / 100 = 31%

Arizona: 165 / 222 = 0.74 / 100 = 74%

Explain your answer below

  • For what reasons do you think California and Texas seemingly had a disproportionate number of murders than New York and Pennsylvania in 2011? Please do your research and include the references that support your answer.

Reference:




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