Forecasting Expected Policy Outcomes
Policy Analysis and Program EvaluationPAD520 Forecasting Expected Policy Outcomes Topics Forecasting in Policy AnalysisTypes of FuturesApproaches to ForecastingExtrapolative ForecastingTheoretical ForecastingJudgmental Forecasting Forecasting in Policy Analysis ForecastingProjectionBased on Historical DataPredictionBased on TheoryConjectureBased on AssumptionAims of ForecastingUnderstanding Past Policies and Consequences Forecasting in Policy Analysis, Continued {5C22544A-7EE6-4342-B048-85BDC9FD1C3A}LIMITATIONS OF FORECASTINGForecast AccuracyAccuracy is based on the use of a …